What happens beneath the ocean when hurricanes and coastal storms move through? 🌊 Rutgers oceanographer Julia Engdahl joins Tidal Flooding Talk to explain ocean gliders, storm surge, high-tide flooding and how better underwater observations could improve hurricane forecasting and coastal preparedness along the Jersey Shore.
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📹THURSDAY’S FORECAST | Listen, I know this video is 5 minutes long. However, with 6 more rounds of tidal flooding, rain chances going up this weekend, beach erosion and more, I believe it’ll be worth your watch. Thank you!
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A nor’easter is impacting the Jersey Shore, but this is not mainly a rainstorm. The bigger issues are tidal flooding, strong northeast winds and rough ocean conditions.
Coastal Flood Warnings are in effect for Ocean, Atlantic and Cape May counties, where flooding could threaten property. Monmouth County and other areas are under lower-level coastal flood alerts.
Winds will be gusty today and Thursday, especially along the beaches. Gusts could reach the 30s and 40s mph, so secure outdoor furniture and anything else that can blow around.
The ocean will also be dangerous. Surf could build to 6 to 10 feet, with several rounds of moderate tidal flooding possible. The highest number of flooding rounds is expected from Long Beach Island south.
Thursday and Friday look mostly dry away from the flooding. For the weekend, keep outdoor plans for now, but have a Plan B ready.
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7 to 9 rounds of tidal flooding are possible through Sunday.
Beach wind gusts could reach 40–50 mph in South Jersey.
Dangerous surf and rip currents will make swimming and boating risky.
A long-lasting nor’easter will make for a rough week along the Jersey Shore, even though much of the area will see very little rain after Tuesday.
The biggest concern will be repeated tidal flooding. Minor flooding is expected Tuesday evening, followed by more significant flooding Wednesday through Friday. Atlantic and Cape May counties could even approach major flood stage later in the week, especially around the Friday evening high tide. A full Harvest Moon on Saturday will also help raise normal tide levels.
Strong northeast winds will continue pushing ocean water toward the coast. Gusts could reach 40 to 50 mph along the beaches of Atlantic and Cape May counties, with gusts around 35 to 40 mph farther north. Those winds will also create high surf and dangerous rip currents.
Tuesday will be the main rainy day. Wednesday through Friday should be mostly dry, aside from a few possible sprinkles. Inland areas will mainly deal with gusty winds and a raw feel.
Conditions should begin improving Saturday as winds turn more northerly. However, some tidal flooding could continue into the weekend, and Sunday’s weather will depend on how quickly the coastal storm moves away.
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The Jersey Shore is expected to see its first nor’easter of the cool season beginning Tuesday, with impacts potentially lasting through the weekend.
A strengthening low-pressure system moving up the East Coast is expected to produce persistent northeast winds for several days. While the exact track remains uncertain, rounds of tidal flooding are expected, especially around the Wednesday, Thursday and Friday high tides.
Beach erosion and gusty onshore winds are also expected. Recent beach replenishment projects could help limit some erosion impacts.
The biggest uncertainties involve the severity and frequency of coastal flooding and how much rain falls. Some periods could feature only scattered showers, while one or two days could turn much wetter.
More specific flooding and rainfall details should become clearer as the storm approaches.
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🥳SATURDAY’S FORECAST | Some parts of the Jersey Shore will be totally dry until Sunday night! Yes, I said it. Either way, enjoy what we got today, it’ll be the nicest day up and down the coast until at least…. next Sunday?
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😎FRIDAY’S FORECAST | This weekend is dry until Sunday. Sunday is not all bad though! Depending on where you are, you’ll be dry all day long.
Beach weather’s coming to an end, though. Next week looks… yucky.
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The Jersey Shore is reaching a noticeable seasonal milestone Thursday evening as daylight continues its rapid September decline.
September 17 marks the final sunset at or after 7 p.m. for the beaches of Monmouth and Ocean counties. Just one month ago, there was still plenty of daylight at 7 p.m. By mid-October, it will already be dark by that time.
Atlantic and Cape May counties have a little more time. Their final 7 p.m. sunsets will arrive this weekend.
The quickly changing sunset times are part of the Jersey Shore’s fastest loss of daylight of the year. Around the September equinox, the region loses more than 2.5 minutes of daylight each day.
It’s not just the amount of daylight that is changing. The sun itself is also noticeably lower in the sky.
On September 17, the sun’s peak angle over the Jersey Shore is about 21 degrees lower than it was on the summer solstice in June. That lower sun angle means less direct sunlight, longer shadows and earlier sunsets.
And with leaves beginning to change, the signs of fall are becoming harder to miss.
