November may feel like an unusual time to talk about tornadoes, but New Jersey has a low risk for one Thursday, Nov. 12.
If you live along the Jersey Shore, keep an eye on the weather. Monmouth, Ocean and Burlington counties stand out in the forecast as areas where heavier showers or thunderstorms could develop. The threat could reach other parts of central New Jersey, too.
NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has outlined a 2% tornado risk for parts of the region. That is low, but it means a tornado cannot be ruled out.
Forecast models show winds that could support rotating storms. That does not mean a tornado will form. It does mean any stronger thunderstorm deserves attention.
While most people connect tornadoes with spring and summer, New Jersey has seen them in November before. On Nov. 16, 1989, seven tornadoes touched down across the state, per the Office of the New Jersey State Climatologist.
For your Thursday plans, stay aware of changing conditions and check for forecast updates. Most communities may avoid severe weather, but a low risk still deserves your attention.
